Azerbaijan is testing the waters

International experts have no doubt that Azerbaijan started the military operation on the territory of Armenia. “Even Azerbaijani commentators admit this. Armenia is currently weak and has little interest in disrupting the status quo,” Thomas de Waal, a well-known British expert on the Caucasus, described the situation. - Why did Azerbaijan start now? In short - because it can. Baku is happy with the current geopolitical situation. They want to see if Russia has the resolve to intervene despite its failures in Ukraine, to see how strong the CSTO’s commitment to defending Armenia is – this is interesting to them both now and in terms of possible future scenarios.”
On September 17, a delegation of the US Congress headed by Speaker Nancy Pelosi arrived in Yerevan. On behalf of Congress, she said she condemned Azerbaijan's "illegal and deadly attacks" and "attacks on Armenian sovereignty" that jeopardize peace agreements between the two countries. Pelosi's harsh statements caused outrage in Baku, but thanks to US intervention, a ceasefire was agreed upon.